Friday 18 November 2011

Worldwide house prices charted. Canada is riding a bubble. Updated.

























From Chart of the day at Business Insider:
Commenting on the US:  "If you really think it was all Fannie and Freddie's fault, then you have to explain why the U.S. just happened to have the same (roughly) arc of a housing boom as basically every other industrialized country all around the world at the same time."
You can see for yourself Canadian home prices are resting on foam about 30% higher than the US.

Mike Shedlock of Global Economic Analysis cautions us to deal with this overvaluation of real estate. "Canada's enormous property bubble will collapse and perhaps a global slowdown is just the right catalyst this go around." (in this article)  and "Australia is a basket case on the bursting of its property bubble, Canada has the second or third largest property bubble next to China and Australia" (inside this article)

Added: To me it's basic: You should be able to rent something out for a little more than the investment needed to buy that something.  Rents are way out of whack, even allowing that people will pay a premium to have their own place.

Footnote:  Like me, you are probably wondering why Germany's housing prices are flat. The Guardian has a good article.  Rentals are abundant (up to 90% of the housing stock in Berlin), 20% down is the minimum to buy a house, and so on.  Like most stories, it's kind of complicated.

UPDATE:  Excellent report at The Economist linked by Small Dead Animals Nov. 26th.  Stats show overevaluation of the average home in Canada at 29% (based on incomes) and 71% ( based on rents). 



1 comment:

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